Wielding the power of uncertainty in EVE Online.
If you want to change the course of a galactic war overnight, what you
need is not pilots, ships, or isk, but a combination of sadistic
opportunism, luck, and outright bastardry.
Meet
Intrepid Crossing (IRC) and their
closest friends,
Ethereal Dawn (ED). Basing in
Etherium Reach (or 7-K to vets)
this pair of US-timezone alliances have lived in a state of near-total
peace since the opening of the drone regions to the playerbase. The
combination of low risk and high profit resulted in accelerating
membership statistics for IRC/ED as well as a bevy of shiny
supercapitals. There was only one problem: the
ever-increasing number of pilots was creating intense pressure on the
leadership of both alliances to consider a war of territorial
expansion, and the only nearby target was nominally friendly to them.
That target was
Red Alliance (RA), who live in
Insmother
just south of Etherium Reach.
If there is one rule in EVE politics which has yet to be disproved, it
is that attacking RA is a stupendously bad idea. Red Alliance's history
is replete with
examples of coming back from the
brink of extinction to overwhelm their foes with persistence and
ruthlessness. Yet IRC/ED were either unaware of the history of alliance
warfare in EVE - which is entirely possible, as they are both very
young entities - or felt so geographically constrained that they
believed an invasion to be their only option. In March 2009, IRC/ED
invaded Insmother and began to siege C-J6, the spiritual capital of Red
Alliance.
Unfortunately for Red Alliance, once the IRC/ED attack got underway,
the invasion didn't seem like such a bad idea on the face of it. RA had
been severely weakened over the years as its primary leaders
factionalized and splintered to form their own alliances. The first of
these was Against All Authorities (-A-), years in the past, led by Evil
Thug. Then, after the conclusion of the first Great War, came three
fractures in rapid succession: MACTEP formed Solar Fleet, Nync formed
Red.Overlord, and UAxDeath formed Legion of xXDeathXx (XIX). The
heritage of almost all of the
Galactic East can be traced back
to Red Alliance, but that was of no use now. With each splinter the
mother alliance had weakened, and RA was in trouble.
Unbeknownst to the leaders of IRC and ED, they had just driven their
alliances at full speed into the midst of the most intense exchanges of
the Great War. Red Alliance had been aiding Legion of xXDeathXx in
Tenerifis against the combined forces of Atlas Alliance and Against All
Authorities. This was the 'eastern front' of the Great War, with the
'western front' being in Querious where -A-, KenZoku and their
pets
fought Goonswarm, Morsus Mihi, RAZOR, KIA, ZAF, and Pandemic Legion.
Without RA's continued help, Legion of xXDeathXx would be overwhelmed
in Tenerifis by Against All Authorities, which would have disastrous
implications for the Swarm and its allies in Querious. Like the
butterfly of cliche flapping its wings and creating a hurricane on the
other side of the world (and then flying headfirst into a bug zapper)
IRC/ED had touched off a chain of events far beyond their control.
IRC/ED had to be stopped, not only to save Red Alliance, but to
preserve the Swarm's victories in the Great War. How was I going to
pull these guys off RA? There was no credible military threat I could
make, as Etherium Reach is literally on the opposite side of the galaxy
from our home region of Delve. If the Swarm tried to send ships against
ED/IRC, we'd be hamstrung in Querious. Because there could be no
military threat, diplomatic sabre-rattling was out of the question, as
it's nearly impossible to influence an alliance if you have no hold
over them. While Goonswarm once was a neighbor to ED/IRC
before we seized Delve, since then there was nothing left we could use
for influence. Espionage would have to come to the rescue.