How Case Rarity Tiers Affect Long-Term ROI in CS2

Skins in CS2 are not just a cosmetic addition to weapons, but also real money. Some players buy and sell cases and skins to earn money. But not all cases are the same - some have been in the game for a long time, they are expensive and rare, and other cases are new and incomprehensible. Your future profit depends on how rare a case or skin in it you invest in now. In this article, we will figure out: what rarity levels are, why this is important for earning money, and which cases are worth buying so as not to lose.

What are Сase Rarity Levels And Why are They Important?

All skins in CS2 cases are divided into five main rarity levels. They differ visually, by color, and also by value:

• Mil-Spec skins (blue) — skins of this category account for about 80% of drops;

• Restricted skins (purple) — skins from this rarity category account for about 16% of drops;

• Classified skins (pink-purple) — these are quite rare skins, they account for only about 3.2%;

• Covert skins (red) — these are the rarest skins, the chance of getting such a weapon skin is 0.64%, and the probability of getting a knife is even less — only 0.26%.

It is important for players to understand CS2 (CS:GO) case odds, as they form the probability distribution when opening a case.

What is ROI And How Does it Relate to Rarity?

ROI is an indicator that shows the profitability of opening a particular case. That is, it is an indicator of how much you can earn on your investments in cases. For example, you buy a case and a key for $5. When you open the case, you get a drop worth $2. As a result, your losses are $3.

This is a negative ROI. But if when you open the case you get a knife for $200, then you are in the black. The greater the chance of an expensive drop, the higher the potential profit. Rare cases with expensive skins or knives often give the best ROI, especially if you hold them for a long time and do not open them right away.

The question is natural: why do old and rare cases become more expensive over time?

The fact is that the CS2 developer sometimes removes cases from the list of "relevant". That is, the player can no longer get them as a drop in the game. This makes them rare and valuable. The demand for such cases remains, but there are fewer and fewer cases, so their price is growing.

For example, Operation Riptide Case cost about $0.60 at the time of release, after 2 years its price rose to $3.60, after another 2 years its price increased to $12-$14. And the rarer and more expensive the skins inside such a case, the higher its price.

Which Cases are Worth Paying Attention to for Future Profit?

Some cases are more likely to generate profit over time, especially considering their contents, popularity, and availability on the market:

1. Cases with rare knives or gloves

Cases that contain cool CS2 wor gloves almost always increase in price. They attract both collectors and gamblers. Historically, such cases have shown several-fold growth. For example, the Operation Hydra Case, which contains gloves, has increased in price several times over the past few years and now costs about $23 without the cost of the key.

2. Cases with popular skins

If the case has beautiful skins for weapons such as AWP, AK-47, M4A1-S, and USP-S, this immediately increases its value. Such cases sell well and have a high chance of increasing in price. For example, the Kilowatt Case with bright skins for AWP and USP-S is already showing an excellent starting ROI.

3. Cases removed from the drop (not available in the game)

As soon as the case stops dropping after matches, its quantity on the market gradually decreases. At the same time, interest in it remains, especially if it contains rare items. Such cases are an excellent option for long-term investment.

If you plan to open cases and not resell them, then here are the cases with the highest ROI at the moment:

• CS:GO Weapon Case 2 (ROI is about 80.06%)

• CS:GO Weapon Case 3 (ROI is about 77.43%)

• Huntsman Weapon Case (ROI is about 69.88%)

Conclusion

The rarity of cases, their content, and their status on the market directly affect potential profit. Understanding which cases most often grow in price and why, you will be able to make more informed decisions and receive a stable income from investments in CS2. The main thing is to follow trends, choose promising cases with high ROI, and think about the future.