The Second Great War is inarguably the single most catastrophic event
in the history of New Eden. It is the largest war in EVE, with more
than 30,000 pilots directly involved. It is the most destructive, with
more assets destroyed, trapped, or ruined in the last few months than
in any other conflict - and the sheer concentration of that devastation
in time and space, the density of the carnage, defies description. It
is a war with more regional scope than any other; the major players are
powerblocs from every sector of the galaxy, with fronts and brushfire
wars in the North, South, and East. Not even the normally peaceable
Empire regions are immune to the war's influence, as the market
disruption caused by so many assets changing hands has thrown the
economy into a dizzying, scarcity-induced spike. Immense fortunes have
been won and lost, notoriety achieved, reputations ruined.
There is no question that a history of the event is premature.
Histories are written by the victors, and there is no clear victor to
this conflict. Nonetheless, this is an attempt to illustrate what has
transpired over the past four months, to take a series of events of
dizzying complexity and break it down into discrete chunks that can be
analyzed.
href="http://www.tentonhammer.com/node/66373" target="_blank"> style="width: 200px; float: right;" src="/image/view/66373">
Whose War is it, Anyway?
First, there was the Great Northern War. It was a bitter conflict, but
this was 2004; not many people played EVE. The GNW was heralded as the
first 'Great' war in New Eden, and out of its aftermath an alliance
called Band of Brothers (BoB) was formed. BoB considered themselves the
best in the game, and let everyone know it; this resulted in a host of
enemies, particularly the group now known as the Northern Coalition
(NC). The GNW saw the creation of some of the first multi-alliance
powerblocs.
By March of 2006 there were four major powerblocs in EVE: The Northern
Coalition, Band of Brothers and their associated 'pets', Lotka Volterra
(LV) and the Southern Coalition, and Ascendant Frontier (ASCN) and
their allies.
In July 2006 (amidst various other wars) BoB invaded Syndicate. For two
weeks they camped a corporation of 500 newbies from an internet comedy
forum into the stations of S-U8A4. Boring easily, BoB declared victory
and left; the newbies - of Goonfleet - vowed revenge. Two months later
they left Syndicate to join with Red Alliance and Tau Ceti Federation
to form the RedSwarm Federation, a new powerbloc opposed to both Lotka
Volterra and BoB.
Meanwhile, BoB destroyed Ascendant Frontier with embarrassing ease.
While the NC and the RSF had little but contempt for ASCN, BoB's
acquisition of ASCN's former territory substantially upset the balance
of power. Worse, Goonswarm spies found records of a conversation
between the leadership of BoB and LV discussing the possibility of a
secret treaty against the RSF. In retaliation, the RSF and the NC
concluded their own hidden mutual defense pact, vowing that each bloc
would invade BoB should they make an aggressive move. Then, determined
to strike first, the RSF decided to try to exterminate LV before a
BoB/LV pact could be formalized. While at first BoB watched to see if
LV could handle the RSF on its own, when LV entered a failure cascade,
BoB intervened, triggered the RSF/NC defense pact, and all hell broke
loose.
Between March 2007 and April 2008, the First Great War tore the galaxy
apart. BoB and Lotka Volterra struggled against the Northern Coalition
and the RedSwarm Federation, resulting in the deaths of many alliances,
including Mercenary Coalition, Dusk and Dawn, Firmus Ixion, Lotka
Volterra and RISE. Band of Brothers was brought to the verge of
extinction, but successfully repelled the invasion of Delve by
coalition forces. Licking their wounds, each bloc claimed that they had
won the upper hand. RedSwarm Federation and the Northern Coalition had
cut BoB's territory from eight regions to three and feasted on the
spoils; BoB laughingly held to the fact that their enemies had failed
to unseat them from Delve, the most valuable region in the game and
BoB's home.
The Second Great War abruptly began with the disbanding and seizure of
the 'Band of Brothers' alliance and the invasion of Delve by the
Northern Coalition (Morsus Mihi, Razor, and Tau Ceti Federation),
Goonswarm, Pandemic Legion, KIA and Zenith Affinity on February 4th
2009.
The Setup
Compared with the First Great War, BoB's regional footprint was much
smaller at the outbreak of the Second. In the First Great
War, BoB had lost most of their former territory save for three
regions: Delve, their home base, and the pet-inhabited buffer regions
of Querious and Period Basis. Pandemic Legion (PL), sworn enemies of
BoB, were poised on their border in Fountain, which had once been
BoB's. The Northern Coalition had recently been provoked by BoB during
a failed invasion of NC territories - the so-called 'MAX' campaign
- between July and November 2008. Goonswarm had become
bloated with territory, holding with seven regions in the southeast,
from Esoteria to Scalding Pass, many of which had been pried from BoB
or BoB
target="_blank">pets
by force.
February 3rd 2009 saw the war focused in Detorid and Feythabolis with
Goonswarm being attacked by Against All Authorities (-A-) and BoB. This
intermittent offensive had been going on since November, with no
significant strategic gains or losses on either side; it was pos
warfare at its most dull. The next day, everything changed.
Outside Context Problem: Feb 4th 2009
Haargoth Agamar
target="_blank">struck,
implementing a plan conceived by the GIA. 'Band
of Brothers' ceased to exist as each member corporation was kicked from
the alliance, the alliance itself disbanded, and the name 'Band of
Brothers' stolen by a Swarm-controlled alt corporation. Sovereignty
defenses dropped throughout all of what had been BoB territory. The war
was on and each side had to react.
Several decisions were made in the immediate aftermath of the
disbanding that would reverberate throughout the campaign. The
coalition (NC + RSF + PL) chose to immediately invade Delve, the heart
of BoB territory, rather than attacking an outlying buffer region such
as Querious, as had happened during the 'first' war. From the moment
that BoB's disbanding was revealed, massive forces were set in motion.
A 'sov ticker' alarm was widely distributed by the coalition, making it
clear to their pilots that Delve had to be captured within four weeks.
After four weeks, BoB's new alliance (KenZoku) would recover much of
their sovereignty, nullifying Haargoth's actions.
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Goonswarm's CEO, Darius Johnson, announced on February 5th that
Goonswarm would not merely be invading Delve, but completely abandoning
all seven regions and 30+ stations under its control in a bid to seize
Delve as its new home. Goonswarm had gone 'all in'; Darius deliberately
imitated Cortez, burning the ships of his troops on a foreign shore.
Swarm logisticians commenced tearing down everything that could be
removed from Swarm space, and destroying anything that could not.
By contrast, Band of Brothers spent several days denying reality.
Conspiracy theories spread wildly regarding Haargoth, suggesting that
his account had been hacked. BoB directors filed many petitions to CCP,
asking for some kind of GM intervention. Their
href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Groupthink" target="_blank">groupthink
refused to accept that Haargoth could have defected, so the average BoB
pilot believed that their sovereignty would be restored by CCP.
Initial Engagements to Crushing Loss: Feb 5th - Feb 12th 2009
Delve is a unique region of conquerable space, not only because it has
higher income potential than any other region in New Eden, but also
because it contains a sub-region of NPC stations where anyone can dock
without restriction. The coalition invasion of Delve was staged from
319 (GS), UHKL (NC) and G-TT (PL), systems in 'NPC Delve'. Each
coalition alliance parked a Titan in one of these staging systems and
used their jumpbridges to quickly move fleets and reinforce battles in
progress.
The ex-corporations of BoB reformed as an alliance under the banner of
one of their existing pets, KenZoku (RKZ), on February 6th. From that
date, the coalition would have 28 days to capture twenty conquerable
stations in
target="_blank">Delve,
a seemingly impossible task. Every day, both KenZoku and the coalition
would place as many towers as they could in contested systems.
In an attempt to gain as much ground as possible, the coalition divided
their towers among the Sov4 constellations of Delve, with GS, the NC
and PL each picking a separate cluster of outposts. Each of these
constellations had once been the exclusive fiefdom of a BoB member
corporation. The hope was that any given constellation loss would take
that corporation out of the war. To ensure that the 'tower
spam' was as obnoxious as possible to repel, the coalition almost
exclusively used 'dickstars', control towers fit with as many shield
hardeners and ECM modules as possible, rendering them almost impossible
to attack without a capital fleet, yet completely unarmed. Attacking
even a single dickstar with subcapitals would take hours of effort to
knock one into reinforced. Between the various alliances of the
coalition, more towers were deployed in Delve faster than in any
campaign in EVE history.
The crux of the fighting was in the J-L system, part of the
constellation which Goonswarm was assaulting. The core system of the
Reikoku corporation, J-L was the site of several Capital Ship
Assembly Arrays (CSAAs) which were in the process of building
motherships and titans. J-L played host to multiple all-day battles in
which hundreds of ships on each side were destroyed and over a thousand
players involved. While the disbanding had dealt a blow to KenZoku, it
wasn't a defeat in battle; it was clear that they were eager to avenge
themselves and had enormous ship stockpiles with which to back that up.
During these engagements reinforcements would be repeatedly bridged
into J-L over the course of the fight by each side's titans, allowing
the fight to continue for five hours or more before any satisfactory
conclusion was reached.
Over the next few days, KenZoku depleted their ship stockpiles during
attrition warfare in J-L and suffered several CSAA losses. These were
dramatized by the coalition for maximum propaganda impact; as each lost
CSAA could conceivably have been building a titan (and several titans
were confirmed to have been destroyed within CSAAs), these failures
resulted in a significant swing in morale from the RKZ side toward the
coalition
On February 12th, matters came to a head. The day began with yet
another extended J-L meatgrinder battle, which RKZ lost. Then, in the
aftermath, a KenZoku mothership warped to a stargate. The coalition
capital group hot-dropped it; the mothership and the ten RKZ carriers
who had tried to save it were destroyed. More than a thousand ships had
been destroyed in the previous hours, but the worst was yet to come. A
few hours later, RKZ formed up to try to save one of its last surviving
CSAAs, in the 8WA system. Moments before the CSAA tower came out of
reinforced, Sir Molle (the leader of RKZ) made an error and cyno'd his
titan to a tower where coalition forces were lurking. The Avatar (Sir
Molle's fourth titan loss) was dispatched in the same as way the
mothership - and the CSAA.
The Great Purge and the PR- Camp: Feb 13th - March 13th 2009
Demoralized by the titan loss, the KenZoku leadership made its
href="http://www.tentonhammer.com/node/65110" target="_blank">single
greatest error of the war: the combined RKZ capital fleet was
ordered to log off in one station in NPC Delve, PR-. For the next
thirty days, coalition subcapitals camped this station. This prevented
RKZ from undocking their capitals, meaning that they could do nothing
to fight against the proliferation of coalition dickstars. Confidence
in RKZ leadership was badly shaken. The Great Purge had begun.
Delve is a uniquely protected region. At this phase of the war, hostile
forces only controlled stations in Catch and Period Basis. Coalition
capital fleets could operate without support and without risk of
hostile capitals ambushing them so long as they sieged only in Delve.
With siegework transformed by the PR- camp from an incredibly
dangerous, high-risk activity to something a child could arrange, the
coalition capital fleet became almost 'self-aware'. From February 13th
onwards, thirty to forty capital pilots began operating in shifts,
23/7, as they no longer required a hundred or more subcapitals for
support. Individual capital pilots began running the capital fleet,
rather than relying on an officially-appointed fleet commander.
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The first day saw twenty RKZ towers killed. The next, thirty. Each day,
the number increased, peaking at fifty tower kills in one 23-hour
server day on Feb 17th. Fleet commanders couldn't find targets fast
enough for the all-consuming capital blob; participation soared as the
magnitude of the accomplishment grew. The Jita market for strontium -
the fuel for sieges - was bought out for days at a time.
Meanwhile, the Northern Coalition was towering up Querious, and
stations began to fall there. Occasional resistance cropped up in the
form of -A- or RKZ subcapital fleets attacking the capital blob, but
these were swiftly beaten back; coalition pilots were so eager for a
fight that the announcement of an attack on the capitals brought forth
hordes of defenders. By February 23rd, all twenty stations in Delve
were either captured or trending towards Goonswarm sovereignty. Delve
had fallen, weeks ahead of the deadline.
The Great Purge continued for another three weeks. In that time,
coalition forces seized all RKZ-held R64 moons in Delve and Querious,
then moved to Period Basis and took the constellation formerly owned by
Destructive Influence (A KenZoku corporation) for Zenith Affinity.
The Counterrevolution Begins: March 13th - April 3rd
Throughout the Great Purge, this was the question in the mind of many
coalition and KenZoku pilots: When would Against All Authorities
intervene? Its borders secure and living in nearby Catch (bordering
Querious), -A- was the most powerful of RKZ's allies. Yet while -A-
would periodically send fleets roaming into Delve to tangle with the
coalition, there was no sustained commitment on their part to rescue
KenZoku. On March 13th, the 30th day of the PR- camp, that
changed. An -A- fleet arrived along with their allies Stain Empire (SE)
and Red.Overlord (ROL), combined with the RKZ fleet and freed KenZoku's
capital fleet.
Invigorated by the influx of allies, KenZoku began plotting to take
their space back. On the border between Catch and Querious, 49- became
the fulcrum of the next phase of the war, a system a mere three jumps
from -A-'s regional capital in FAT. A classic timezone war broke out:
in the hours after downtime and through euro primetime, 49- would be
packed with hundreds of RKZ and -A- pilots, sieging coalition towers.
In the later hours of US and ANZAC timezone, the coalition would return
the favor. Given the overwhelming superiority in each's primetime, very
little direct conflict occurred.
Exhausted by a month and a half of desperate conquest, Goonswarm
logistics began to crack under the strain; errors in timing towers
resulted in 49- falling to KenZoku on April 4th. 3BK, another station
in Querious, fell to a combined surprise attack of RKZ, -A- and ROL;
3BK hadn't been fully purged of hostile towers and was spammed without
a fight, written off as a loss by the coalition.
Silence!: April 4th - April 14th
On the day 49- fell to KenZoku, Sir Molle
href="http://www.eveonline.com/ingameboard.asp?a=topic&threadID=1041810"
target="_blank">announced
that RKZ's vengeance was at hand. He rationalized the Great Purge as a
planned loss, part of a grand strategy to delay and exhaust the
coaliton, leaving them ripe for the impending counterattack. A mere
three hours after the announcement, the RKZ capital fleet was
href="http://www.tentonhammer.com/node/66378" target="_blank">annihilated
in a coalition ambush in 9CG. Yet, my gloating in that week's column
proved to be outrageously premature.
While victory in 9CG staunched the coalition's bleeding in Querious and
garnered a propaganda coup, the growing timezone superiority of the
combined RKZ and -A- forces allowed unrestricted kiting of coalition
towers between downtime and late eurotime. Kiting is a method to kill a
tower where the attacker keeps the tower's shields between 25% and 50%
for many hours. -A- would begin a kite at 8:00 GMT and RKZ would
maintain it for 12 hours, finally reinforcing the tower at the end of
their primetime. This rendered stront timing nearly impossible for the
coalition, because -A- could chose to reinforce the tower at 0800 or
allow it be kited, leaving an unpredictable 12 hour timeframe in which
the coalition would have to defend the tower. R64 moons in
Querious began to rapidly fall to KenZoku, increasing their holdings
from five to sixteen, allowing them to amass a vast warchest for the
planned reconquest of Delve. Meanwhile, a breakdown in organizational
communication meant that the average coalition pilot wasn't even aware
that things were going so badly. Defensive efforts were halfhearted and
ineffective. The few remaining coalition towers in 49- came under daily
siege; unless a way could be found to stop the enemy from kiting, the
coalition's defeat was inevitable - and rapidly approaching.
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